ࡱ> BDA 2bjbj 4"$  8,; 'G]]]]888}'''''''$)J,~'88']]'www]]}'w}'ww_""] 7c]w"i''0'",,j,""&,"8&w888'' j888',888888888 : from dayton to brussels Baron Frankal A decade after Dayton, the bloody Bosnian war is consigned to history, although, the peace still has characteristics of a shaky ceasefire. Bosnia is run by 13 Prime-Ministers and 3 Presidents. Two statelets (the Bosniak-Croatian Federation and Republica Srpska) live side-by-side, with separate police forces, politics, education systems and economies. There is little that unites; the failure of refugees to return to their pre-war homes a notable exception. With Montenegros recent independence and Kosovos expected soon, Serbs have become bolder in asserting their own independence, or the right to reunite with Serbia. Despite this, the international communitys enormous efforts to create a unifying state have not been fruitless. Slowly, peace-building has turned to state-building, or, more precisely, to Member State building because as much as ending the war was an American affair (kudos to Clinton for that), rebuilding has been a European one: including by Europes 6,000 troops on the ground. In due course, the High Representative (the modern term for Viceroy) will leave, troop numbers reduce, and a Stabilisation and Association agreement should be signed - the next stop on the path to EU membership. The promise of this clear end to a long journey has been made a thousand times - and breaking it would leave the EU looking mean and cynical and Bosnia devoid of its post-war anchor. As the ex-High Representative Paddy Ashdown, said, The European perspective is the only glue that holds [Bosnia] together. If you take this glue away, you go back to instability, corruption, conflict. EU talk, especially amongst older members, especially France, is increasingly of enlargement fatigue, final borders and absorption capacity running out. But this is nothing new: France had enlargement fatigue before the six took in anyone: de Gaulle twice vetoed British membership. This is partly due to a centralised republican tradition, the logic of which is distinctive and unique European standards and values and partly due to dilution of Frances original lock on the Communitys machinery. Now, the French have even amended their Constitution to require a referendum on all enlargements after Croatia. But for every France, there is an Italy, with its universal values based on Catholicism and the Roman Empire, which extended Roman citizenship to all residents in all provinces. Also, a quick glance at the map shows how obviously the West Balkans fit into the EU. Finally, economics usually wins the day: and the (modestly) positive results of the 2004 enlargement show that enlarging the Internal Market is pretty much always a good idea. Bosnias road therefore will be very long, but New Europe has great confidence that they will get there eventually, completing a remarkable journey from Dayton to Brussels. First published in the budapest sun, 21 december 2006,  HYPERLINK "http://www.budapestsun.com/cikk.php?id=14442" http://www.budapestsun.com/cikk.php?id=14442     UWdetz& ( : ; B C K L k } ~   2 yyyh;hsyCJaJh;hd$*CJaJh;CJaJhd$*CJaJh;h0PCJaJh;h;CJaJh;h CJaJh$.hdWo5CJaJh 'h9(6CJaJh 'h9(5CJaJh9(5CJaJhP5CJaJhhr5CJaJ+e \ $&')*,-/012 $xa$gd9( $dhxa$gd; $dhxa$gd$.2 7 A D W \ b e n t y z      I L Q R   ' 3 ? 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